priscilla

• Baldwin., R., di Mauro., B (ed) 2020 Mitigating the COVID economic crisis: act fast and do whatever it takes. A VoxEU.org Book. CEPR Press.
• Banco Central do Brasil, 2020 Relatório de Estabilidade Financeira, volume 19, número 1, abril 2020.
• Del Valle, S. e Mniszewski, S. 2013 Modeling the Impact of Behavior Changes on the Spread of Pandemic Influenza.
• Kissler, S. et al 2020 Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period. Science First Release 14apr.
• Krakauer, D. 2020 Rigorous Uncertainty. Santa Fe Institute Transmission Series ep. 1.
• Melgaço, J.G. et al 2020 Protective immunity after COVID-19 has been questioned: What can we do without SARS-CoV-2-IgG detection? Cellular Immunology, Volume 353, July 2020.
• Ministério da Saúde, 2020 Boletim Epidemiológico Especial COE-Covid n1 a 14.
• Tang, F. et al, 2001 Lack of Peripheral Memory B Cell Responses in Recovered Patients with Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome: A Six-Year Follow-Up Study  The Journal of Immunology 186:7264-7268; May 2011.
• Sethi, R. et al. 2020 Roadmap to Pandemic Resilience. Edmond J. Safra Center for Ethics at Harvard University.
• Wolpert., D. 2020 There’s no free lunch when it comes to making predictions about the COVID-19 pandemic. Santa Fe Institute Transmission Series n. 019
• World Health Organization, 2020 R&D Blueprint Covid-19 Experimental Treatments.
• World Health Organization, 2020 Novel coronavirus global research and innovation forum: towards a research roadmap.
• Tuckett., D. et al.  2020 Making good decision under uncertainty. Santa Fe Institute Transmission Series n. 023

Bernanke, Ben 2004 The Great Moderation. Remarks at the meetings of the Eastern Economic Association, Washington, DC. Feb-2004.

Brand, C., Bielecki, M., Penalver, A. (editors) 2018 The natural rate of interest: estimates, drivers, and challenges to monetary policy, European Central Bank, working paper series, Dec-18.

Danthine, JP. 2014 Causes and consequences of low interest rates. Swisscanto Market Outlook 2014. Swiss National Bank, Berne.

Demiralp, S., Eisenschmidt, J., Vlassopoulos, 2019 Negative interest rates, excess liquidity and retail deposits: bank´s reaction to unconventional monetary policy in the euro area. European Central Bank, working paper series, May-19.

Eggertsson, G., Juelsrud, R., Wold, E. 2017 Are negative interest rates expansionary? National Bureau of Economic Research, Nov-17.

Eggertsson, G. et al 2019 Negative nominal interest rates and the bank lending channel. National Bureau of Economic Research, Jan-19.

Haldane, A. 2015 Growing, fast and slow. Speech at the University of East Anglia, Norwich, Feb-15.

Heider, F., Saidi F., Schepens, G. 2018 Life below zero: bank lending under negative policy rates. European Central Bank, working paper series, Aug-18.

Ilgmann, C., Menner, M. 2011 Negative nominal interest rates: history and current proposals. International Economics and Economic Policy, Dec-11.

Nagel, M. 2017 Negative interest rates and positive time preference. Department of Economics, University of Bern, Nov-17.

JPMorgan, 2018 Did negative rates change markets? Global Rates Strategy.

White, W. R. 2012 Ultra easy monetary policy and the law of unintended consequences. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Aug-12.

• Livros
• Ball, P. (2006) Critical Mass: How One Thing Leads to Another. Farras, Straus and Giroux, New York.
• Barabasi, A. (2003) Linked: How Everything Is Connected to Everything Else and What It Means for Business, Science, and Everyday Life. Basic Books, New York.
• Buchanan, M. (2003) Nexus: Small Worlds and the Groundbreaking Science of Networks. W.W. Norton & Co., New York.
• Galloway, S. (2017) The Four: The Hidden DNA of Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Google. Portfolio/Penguin, New York.
• Gawer, A. ed. (2009) Platforms, Markets and Innovation. Edward Elgar, Chentenham, UK.
• Gilder, G. (1989) Microcosm: The Quantum Revolution In Economics And Technology. Touchstone, New York
• Gilder, G. (2000) Telecosm: How Infinite Bandwidth Will Revolutionize Our World. The Free Press, New York.
• Isaacson, W. (2014) The Innovators: How a Group of Hackers, Geniuses, and Geeks Created the Digital Revolution. Simon & Schuster, New York.
• Ismail, S. et al. (2016) Exponential Organizations: Why New Organizations Are Ten Times Better, Faster, and Cheaper Than Yours (and what to do about it). Diversion Books, New York.
• Kelly, K. (1998) New Rules for the New Economy. Penguin Group, New York.
• Marshall, S. (2015) The Story of the Computer. A Technical and Business History
• Parker, G., Alstyne, M., Choudary, S. (2016) Platform Revolution: How Networked Markets Are Transforming the Economy and How to Make Them Work for You. W.W. Norton & Co., New York.
• Reillier, B., Reillier, L. (2017) Platform Strategy: How to Unlock the Power of Communities and Networks to Grow Your Business. Routledge, London and New York.
• Varian, H., Farrell, J., Shapiro, C. (2004) The Economics of Information Technology, an Introduction. Cambridge University Press, United Kingdom
• Watts, D. (2004) Six Degrees: The Science of a Connected Age. W.W. Norton & Co., New York.
• Artigos
• Andreessen, M. Why Software is Eating the World.
• Arthur, B. Increasing Returns and the New World of Business
• Barabasi, A. Bonabeau, E. (2003) Scale-Free Networks. Scientific American.
• Briscoe, B. et al. (2006) Metcalfe´s law is wrong. IEEE, Jul.
• Cisco, (2017) Cisco Visual Networking Index: Forecast and Methodology, 2016-2021
• Evans, D. (2009) How catalysts ignite: the economics of platform-based start-ups
• Galloway, S. Stratechery.
• Guadamuz, A. (2013) Networks, Complexity and Internet Regulation. The University of Edinburgh
• Haigu, A. Rothman, S. (2016) Network effects aren´t enough, HBR apr.
• Kirschner, M., Gerhart, J. (1998) Evolvability, Proceedings of National Academy of Science, 7 (3), 1200-221.
• Koch, T., Windsperger (2017) Seeing through the network: Competitive advantage in the digital economy. Journal of Organization Design 20176:6
• Kumar, S. (2015) Fundamental Limits to Moore´s Law.
• Langlois, R., (2002) The vanishing hand: the changing dynamics of industriual capitalism. University of Connecticut.
• McKinsey&Company (2015a) The Internet of Things: Mapping the Value Beyond the Hype
• McKinsey&Company (2015b) Digital America: A Tale of the Haves and Have-Mores
• Moore, G. (1998) Cramming More Components onto Integrated Circuits. IEEE vol 86, n.1
• Pontin, M. (2008) The state of the global telecosm
• Satell, G. (2017) The end of Moore´s law will change how we need to think about innovation
• Sato, T. (2004) Scale-Free Network Business Development Strategy.
• Shankland, S. (2012) Moore´s Law: The rule that really matters in tech
• Small, G. et al. (2009) Your brain on Google: Patterns of cerebral activation during internet searching, Am J Geriatr Psychiatry 17:2 Feb 2009.
• Sparrow, B. et al. (2011) Information at Our Fingertips.  Google Effects on Memory: Cognitive Consequences of Having. Science 333, 776
• Tatum W., et. Al. (2016) Cortical processing during smartphone text messaging. Epilepsy Behavior Jun, 59; 117-21
• Yoo, Y. et. Al. (2010) The New Organizing Logic of Digital Innovation:
• An Agenda for Information Systems Research. ResearchGate
• Yoo, Y. (2015) Moore´s Law, Metcalfe´s Lawm and the Theory of Optimal Interoperability.

• Butterworth, J. Gravitational waves: why it´s impossible not to be thrilled by this discovery. The Guardian, Feb 11, 2016.
• Clark, Stuart. Gravitational waves: have US scientists heard echoes of the big bang? The Guardian, Mar 14, 2014.
• Kanner, J., Weinstein, A. The Astrophysicists who faked it – The inside story of the gravitational wave signal injection. Nautilus, Nov 3, 2016.
• Overbye, D. Gravitational waves detected, confirming Einstein´s theory. The New York Times, Feb 11, 2016.
• Popper, K. R. (1972) Conjecturas e Refutações. 4ª edição. Editora Universidade de Brasília.
• Radford, Tim. Gravitational waves: breakthrough discovery after a century of expectation. The Guardian, Feb 11, 2016.
• Twillet, N. Gravitational waves exist: the inside story of how scientists finally found them. New Yorker, Feb 11, 2016.

• Luthar, S. (2006) Resilience in Development: A Synthesis of research across five decades.
• Masten, A. (2001) Ordinary Magic: Resilience processes in development. American Psychologist 56(3).
• Sheffi, Y. (2004)  The Power of Resilience – How the Best Companies Manage the Unexpected. MIT Press.
• Sheffi, Y. (2007) The Resilient Enterprise: Overcome vulnerability for competitive advantage. MIT Press.
• Shein, E. (2004) Organizational culture and leadership. Jossey-Boss.
• Zautra, A. (2010) Resilience: Promoting Well-Being Through Recovery, Sustainability, and Growth. Research in Human Development, Aug 2010.
• Zautra, A. (2009) Resilience: One Part Recovery, Two Parts Sustainability. Journal of Personality, Oct 2009.

• North, Douglass
• (1961) The Economic Growth of the United States 1790-1860. Prentice-Hall, Inc.
• (1966) Growth and Welfare in the America Past. A New Economic History. Prentice-Hall, Inc.
• (1968) Sources of Productivity Changes in Ocean Shipping, 1600-1850. The Journal of Political Economy, 76 (5).
• (1973) The Rise of the Western World: A New Economic History.
• (1981) Structure and Change in Economic History. Cambridge University Press.
• (1990) Institutions, Institutional Change, and Economic Performance. Cambridge University Press.
• (1991) Institutions. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol. 5, n.1.
• (1992) The new institutional economics and development. Washington University.
• (1993) Economic performance through time. The Nobel Foundation, Nobel Lectures.
• (2005) Understanding the Process of Economic Change. Princeton University Press.
• North, D., Davis, L. (1970)  Institutional Change and American Economic Growth.
• North, D., Thomas, R. (1973) The Rise of the Western World: A New Economic History. Cambridge University Press.
• North, D., Wallis, J., Weingasth, B. (2009) Violence and Social Order: A Conceptual Framework for Interpreting Recorded Human History. Cambridge University Press.
• North, D., Brown, G., Lueck, D. (2015) Conversation with Douglass North. Annual Review of Resource Economics, n. 7.
• Aoki, M. Understanding Douglass North in game-theoretic language. Stanford University and VCASI.
• Gala, P. (2003) A teoria institucional de Douglass North. Revista de Economia Política, vol. 23, n.2 (90), abr-jun/2003.
• Cruz, S. (2003) Teoria e História: Notas críticas sobre o tema da mudança institucional em Douglass North. Revista de Economia Política, vol. 23, n.2 (90), abr-jun/2003.
• Hodgson, G. (2006) What are institutions? Journal of Economic Issues, vol. XL, n.1.
• Hirsh, P., Lounsbury, M. (1996) Rediscovering volition: the institucional economics of Douglass C. North. Academy of Management Review, vol.21, n.3.
• Klein, P. (1999) New institutional economics. Department of Economics, University of Georgia.
• Ménard, C., Shirley, M. (2001) The contributions of Douglass North to New Institutions Economics. Cambridge University Press.
• Przeworski, A. (1991) Democracy and the market. Cambridge University Press.
• Salema, B. (2011) Sete enigmas do desenvolvimento em Douglass North. Latin American and Caribbean Law and Economics Association, working papers.
• Wallis, J. (2015) Structure and change in economic history: The ideas of Douglass North.

• Akerlof, G., Shiller, R. (2009) Animal Spirits: How human psychology drives the economy, and why it matters for global capitalism. Princeton University Press, New Jersey.
• Alexander, C. (1998) The Endurance: Shackleton´s Legendary Antarctic Expedition. Alfred A. Knopf, New York.
• Amundsen, R. (2001) Pólo Sul: Relato da expedição antartica norueguesa a bordo do Fram – 1910-1912. Ed. Alegro, São Paulo.
• Barczewski, S. (2007) Antarctic destinies: Scott, Shacketon and the changing face of heroism. Hambledon Continuum, London.
• Catmull, E. (2014) Creativity, Inc. Random House, New York.
• Fergunson, A., Moritz, M. (2015) Leading. Learning from my life and my years at Manchester United. Hachette Books, New York.
• Gates, R. (2016) A Passion for Leadership: Lessons on  Change and Reform from Fifty Years of Public Service. Alfred A. Knopf, New York.
• Keynes, J.M. (2009) The general theory of employment, interest and money. Classic Books in America, New York.
• May, Karen (January 2013). Could Captain Scott have been saved? Revisiting Scotts last expedition. Polar Record 49 (1): 72–90.
• McKinlay, W. (1999) The Last Voyage of the Karluk: A Survivors Memoir of Arctic Disaster.
• McTurk, L. (2012/2013) Looking back at leadership in the heroic age. Supervised Project (Anta 604).
• Miller, P. (2012/2013) How have Antarctic explorers from the heroic age shaped our understading of leadership? Critical Literature Review (Anta 602).
• O´Connell, F. (2015) Leadership Lessons from the Race to the South Pole: Why Amunsdes lived and Scott died. Library of Congress.
• Perkins, D. (2000)  Leading at the edge: Leadership lessons from the extraordinary saga of Shackleton´s Antarctic expedition. Amacon, New York.
• Schmidt, E., Rosenberg, J. (2014) How Google Works. Grand Central Publishing, New York.
• Shacketon, E. (2015) South: The story of Shackleton´s 1914-1917 expedition. San Bernardido, CA.
• Stone, B. (2013) The Everything Store. Little, Brown and Co, New York.
• Rothman, J. (2016) Shut up and sit down: why leadership industry rules. New Yorker, Feb 29, 2016.
• Thomson, D. (2002) Scott, Shacketon and Amundsen: Ambition and tragedy in the Antarctic. Thunder´s Mouth Press, New York.

• Booz&co (2012) O Custo da Burocracia no Imóvel
• Eklund, J. e Desai, S. (2013)  Entry Regulation and Persistence of Profits in Incumbent Firms
• Fiesp (2013) O Peso da Burocracia Tributaria na Indústria de Transformação
• Gete, P. (2014) Dealing with Construction Permits, Interest Rate Shocks and Macroeconomic Dynamics.
• Gillanders, R.  e Whelan, K. (2010) Open For Business? Institutions, Business Environment and Economic Development,University College Dublin
• Haidar,  J. (2012) The impact of business regulatory reforms on economic
• Growth,  J. Japanese Int. Economies 26
• Klapper, L., Laeven, L. e Rajan, R. (2006) Entry regulation as a barrier to entrepreneurship,  Journal of Financial Economics 82
• Messaoud, B. e Teheni, Z.  (2013) Business regulations and economic growth: What can be explained? International Strategic Management Review 2
• World Bank Group (2015) Doing Business – Going Beyond Efficiency. 12th edition

• Bevelin, P. (2003) Seeking Wisdom from Darwin to Munger. Walsworth Publishing Co.
• Brockman, J. ed. (2013) Thinking. The new science of decision-making, problem solving, and precdiction. HarperCollins, NY.
• Camerer, C., Loewenstein, G., Prelec, D. (2005) Neuroeconomics: how neuroscience can inform economics. Journal of Economic Literature Vol. XLIII (March 2005).
• Chabris, C., Simons D. (2010) The Invisible Gorilla and other ways our intuitions deceive us. Crown, NY.
• Coates, J. (2012) The Hour between Dog and Wolf. Risk taking, gut feelings and the biology of boom and bust. The Pienguin Press, NY.
• Damasio, A. (1994) Descartes´ Error: emotion, reason and the human brain. New York, G. P, Putnam.
• Finkelstein, S., Sanford, S. (2000) Learning from corporate mistakes: the rise and fall of Iridium.
• Finkelstein, S., Whitehead, J., and Campbell, A. (2008) Think Again. Why good leaders make bad decisions and how to keep it from happening to you. Harvard Business Press, Boston.
• Gladwell, M. (2005) Blink. The power of thinking without thinking. Little, Brown and Co, NY.
• Glimcher, P., Camerer, C., Fehr, E., Poldrack, (2009) R. Neuroecnomics. Decision making and the brain. Elsevier.
• Kahneman, D. (2011) Thinking, Fast and Slow. Farrar, Straus and Giroux, NY.
• Kahneman, D., Klein, G (2009) Conditions for Intuitive Expertise. A failure to disagree. American Psychologist, September 2009.
• Klein, G. (1999) Sources of Power. How people make decisions. The MIT Press, England.
• Klein, G. (2011) Streetlights and Shadows. Searching for the keys to adaptive decision making. The MIT Press, London.
• Klein, G. (2013) Seeing What Others Don´t. The remarkable way we gain insights. Public Affairs, NY.
• Lo, A., Repin, D. (2002) The psychophysiology of real-time financial risk processing. Journal of Cognitive Neuroscience, 14(3).
• LeDoux, J. (1996) The Emotional Brain: The mysterious underpinnings of emotional life. New York, Simon and Schuster.
• Mauboussin, M. (2009) Think Twice. Harnessing the power of counterintuition. Harvard Business Press, Boston.
• Simon, H. (1992) What is an explanation of behavior? Psychological Science, 3.
•  Williams, K. (2012) Business Intuition: the mortar among the bricks of analysis. Journal of Management Policy and Practice vol. 13(5).

• De Grazia, S. (1989) Machiavelli in hell. Princeton University Press.
• Ekeland, I. (1991) The broken dice and other mathematical takes of chance. The University of Chicago Press.
• Gigerenzer, G. at al. (1989) The Empire of choice. How probability changed science and everyday life. Cambridge University Press.
• Roscher, N. (1995) Luck: The brilliant randomness of everyday life. University of Pittsburgh Press.
• Pinker, S. (1997) How the mind works. W.W. Norton & Company.
• Skinner, Q. (1978) The Foundations of modern political thought, vol I: The Renaissance. Cambridge University Press.